...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC...
SOUTHEASTERN CUMBERLAND AND CAPE MAY COUNTIES...
AT 104 AM EDT, A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER NORTH
CAPE MAY, OR NEAR CAPE MAY, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VINELAND, ATLANTIC CITY, MILLVILLE, OCEAN CITY, CAPE MAY, CUMBERLAND,
PLEASANTVILLE, SOMERS POINT, VENTNOR CITY, NORTHFIELD, MARGATE CITY,
NORTH WILDWOOD, LAUREL LAKE, WILDWOOD CREST, WEYMOUTH, WOODBINE, SEA
ISLE CITY, ESTELL MANOR, AVALON AND WEST CAPE MAY.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM, AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR
* PORTIONS OF DELAWARE, NORTHEAST MARYLAND, NEW JERSEY, AND
PENNSYLVANIA, INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS, IN DELAWARE,
DELAWARE BEACHES, INLAND SUSSEX, KENT, AND NEW CASTLE. IN
NORTHEAST MARYLAND, CAROLINE, CECIL, KENT MD, QUEEN ANNES, AND
TALBOT. IN NEW JERSEY, ATLANTIC, ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY,
CAMDEN, CAPE MAY, COASTAL ATLANTIC, COASTAL OCEAN, CUMBERLAND,
EASTERN MONMOUTH, GLOUCESTER, HUNTERDON, MERCER, MIDDLESEX,
MORRIS, NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON, OCEAN, SALEM, SOMERSET,
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON, SUSSEX, WARREN, AND WESTERN MONMOUTH.
IN PENNSYLVANIA, BERKS, CARBON, DELAWARE, EASTERN CHESTER,
EASTERN MONTGOMERY, LEHIGH, LOWER BUCKS, MONROE, NORTHAMPTON,
PHILADELPHIA, UPPER BUCKS, WESTERN CHESTER, AND WESTERN
* UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY
* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO BRING PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAIN TO OUR REGION THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
COMMON, WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS UP TO 3 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS
COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.
* THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS HIGHEST IN URBANIZED AND LOW-
LYING AREAS. RAPID RISES ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS ARE
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH
FLOODING WHICH CAN BE LIFE-THREATENING. HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR OVER A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. RAPIDLY RISING
FLOOD WATERS MAY QUICKLY INUNDATE ROADWAYS AND AREAS OF POOR
DRAINAGE. STREAMS AND CREEKS COULD LEAVE THEIR BANKS, FLOODING
PLEASE MONITOR THE FORECAST, ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN A LOCATION
THAT IS PRONE TO FLOODING. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY.
* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS, ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
LOWER DELAWARE BAY...
COASTAL AND OUTER WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND
* UNTIL 200 AM EDT.
* AT 1257 AM EDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
WATERSPOUTS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM OVERFALLS
SHOAL TO 9 NM EAST OF DELAWARE LIGHTSHIP BUOY 44009, MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 KNOTS.
HAZARD...WATERSPOUTS, WIND GUSTS TO NEARLY 50 KNOTS, AND SMALL
IMPACT...WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY
HAZARDOUS SEAS. SMALL CRAFT COULD BE DAMAGED IN BRIEFLY
HIGHER WINDS AND SUDDENLY HIGHER WAVES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FIVE FATHOMS BUOY, BUOY 2FB, ATLANTIC CITY REEF, BUOY 4FB, BUOY
3FB, GREAT EGG INLET, DEEPWATER REEF, GREAT EGG REEF, OCEAN CITY
REEF, OVERFALLS SHOAL, THE LUMP, 28-
MILE WRECK, BUOY GE, CAPE MAY REEF, BRIGANTINE, BUOY 2MS, WILDWOOD
REEF, SEA ISLE CITY, WILDWOOD AND ATLANTIC CITY.
MOVE TO SAFE HARBOR UNTIL HAZARDOUS WEATHER PASSES. THIS STORM HAS A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING VERY STRONG WINDS.
John Grochowski John Grochowski John Grochowski John Grochowski
Q. I don’t quite get why the house edge is so much higher in Crapless Craps. I’ve seen that the house edge on pass or come is 1.41 in regular craps and 5.38 percent in Crapless Craps.
I understand that the house edge should be higher because 2, 3, 11 and 12 are point numbers, and they’re hard points to make. But they’re also hard points to put up in the first place. You just don’t see that many of those numbers on the comeout, so that should lessen their effect on the house edge.
A. The addition of difficult points to make isn’t the only change that increases the house edge in Crapless Craps.
The elimination of 7 and 11 as winners on the comeout makes a huge difference. In regular craps, you win on the comeout on the six ways to make 7 and the two ways to make all, and lose on the one way to make 2, one way to make 12 and two ways to make 3.
That’s eight ways to win and only four ways to lose on the comeout in regular craps. In Crapless Craps, you can neither win nor lose on the comeout.
A third of all pass wagers in regular craps are settles on the comeout, and players win two-thirds of those. Eliminating that very favorable situation for players drives up the Crapless Craps house edge.
You might ask, “If eliminating comeout wins and losses hurts pass players, wouldn’t it help don’t pass players?”
Indeed it would. On don’t pass or don’t come in regular craps, the 7s and 11s represent eight ways to lose on the comeout, while 2 and 3 represent only three ways to win, with 12 being a push on the don’t side.
That’s why don’t pass and don’t come are not offered in Crapless Craps.
Q. I was having a friendly argument with my dad about busting in blackjack. We agree that the house has its edge because of busts, but he thinks players bust a lot more often than the dealer, maybe even twice as much.
Come ride the wave of yellow shirts with the Le Tour de Downbeach “Happy Ride”, at 9:30 a.m.…
I don’t think it’s the number of busts, but the timing. Players can bust first, but probably don’t bust any more often than the dealer. Who’s right?
A. Players don’t bust anywhere near as often as dealers. For basic strategy players, busts happen on about 16 percent of hands. For dealers, it’s closer to 28 percent.
The reason is the hit/stand rules for dealers. Dealers must hit any 16 or lower.
On hard 12, 13, 13, 15 or 16, you have the option of standing. Basic strategy players do just that on 13 through 16 if the dealer has a 2 through 6 up and on 12 against a dealer’s 4, 5 or 6.
Dealers don’t have that option, so there are many more opportunities for them to bust than there are for players.
You are correct that it’s the timing of busts, rather than the number of them, that gives the house its edge in blackjack.
Players complete their hands before the dealer, and any player bust is a loss regardless of what then happens with the dealer hand. If a player and the dealer bust in the same hand, the player loses.
That’s just a huge advantage for the house that other rules favoring the player are necessary to make the game playable. That’s why options to double down and split pairs exist, and why blackjacks pay 3-2 in better games and 6-5 in poorer ones.
But for sheer number of busts, dealers have the larger share.
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The family business. It’s been an American classic for as long as anyone can remember, and it’s not hard to understand why. After all, who can you trust better than your own flesh and blood? While you may bicker endlessly, these are the folks that have been through the good times and the bad…